Stock Markets Analysis & Opinion

Nasdaq Breaks Out, S&P 500 Trapped in a Range and Russell 2000 Looks Bullish

 

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After a volatile few days, indexes have managed to stage a recovery, with some indexes doing better than others.

The Nasdaq returned above support while breaking resistance from a bull flag. Volume eased back despite the gain; not a great association gave the extent of today’s move higher. One could play the resistance breakout, but we don’t want to see an undercut of 11,500 support. 

COMPQ Daily ChartCOMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P 500 is trapped inside its prior trading range, having dropped below breakout support. Today’s gain brought the index above its 200-day MA, but with the index back inside its prior consolidation, it’s unclear what can be expected next.

SPX Daily ChartSPX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 had given up the most ground from the indexes; from holding breakout support to a quick return to Christmas lows, it has had the most traumatic week. Today’s action ranked as a sizable bullish engulfing pattern on oversold momentum — a bullish sign. 

Look for some upside follow-through tomorrow, although I suspect the 200-day MA could prove problematic for bulls.

IWM Daily ChartIWM Daily Chart

For tomorrow, the Russell 2000 is the easy watch, but I suspect it will fall to the tech sector (or semiconductors) to make the running.

SOX Daily ChartSOX Daily Chart

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